According to Lookonchain, four newly created wallets simultaneously placed positions on Polymarket’s "US strikes Iran by Jan 31, 2026" contract when the market probability was under 18 percent, highlighting clustered flow in a single geopolitical market. Source: Lookonchain (X, Jan 8, 2026); Polymarket user pages referenced by Lookonchain. According to Lookonchain, these wallets have not made any other bets, indicating a concentrated single-idea exposure rather than diversified speculation. Source: Lookonchain (X, Jan 8, 2026); Polymarket user pages referenced by Lookonchain. According to Lookonchain, the coordinated timing and new-wallet profiles are being flagged as notable activity for traders monitoring prediction-market order flow around geopolitical risk. Source: Lookonchain (X, Jan 8, 2026).